CAF Champions Last 16
Global 3-1
FUS Rabat vs Union Douala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FUS Rabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
FUR
0 - 1
FAR
45%
29%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
OCK
2 - 1
FUR
47%
30%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
REA
2 - 1
FUR
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
MOG
1 - 0
FUR
51%
29%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
FUR
1 - 2
HAS
49%
29%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Union Douala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NJA
0 - 1
UNI
52%
28%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LIS
0 - 1
UNI
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAB
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
LIS
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
TON
1 - 0
UNI
46%
30%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |