Furiani Agliani vs Thionville Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
16º
10º
28
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 63 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 62 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 50 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 48 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 42 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 39 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 27 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 23 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 22 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Furiani Agliani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
FUR
63%
23%
14%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FUR
0 - 1
FLE
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 1
FUR
17%
25%
59%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FUR
2 - 0
AUX
57%
24%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
ESW
2 - 2
FUR
24%
26%
50%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Thionville Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
DIJ
2 - 0
THL
77%
15%
9%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
ASN
1 - 0
THL
80%
13%
8%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
UNA
1 - 1
THL
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 2
THL
26%
22%
52%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
THL
2 - 6
REI
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |