Furiani Agliani vs Colmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
16º
4º
43
6º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Furiani Agliani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SPI
3 - 0
FUR
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FUR
0 - 0
FLE
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FUR
3 - 0
SML
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BOB
1 - 0
FUR
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
FUR
3 - 0
BEL
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Colmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
STG
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MET
0 - 1
COL
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SML
1 - 1
COL
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
COL
1 - 0
BEL
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
COL
3 - 1
ESW
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |