Furiani Agliani vs Aubervilliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
16º
10º
10
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 63 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 62 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 50 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 48 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 42 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 39 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 27 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 23 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
|
16º
|
10 | 22 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 87% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Furiani Agliani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SPI
1 - 1
FUR
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BOB
1 - 1
FUR
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FUR
1 - 0
FEI
57%
25%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 1
FUR
55%
26%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FUR
2 - 0
ASB
47%
28%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
PUC
0 - 6
AUB
12%
16%
73%
|
43 | 8 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AUB
3 - 4
BIE
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AUB
1 - 2
SPI
21%
25%
54%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 1
AUB
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AUB
0 - 0
BOB
19%
25%
56%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |