Furiani Agliani vs Beauvais Oise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
25.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
16º
10º
26
6º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 63 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 62 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 50 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 48 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 42 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 39 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 27 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 23 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 22 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Furiani Agliani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 0
FUR
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FUR
2 - 0
THL
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
FUR
63%
23%
14%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FUR
0 - 1
FLE
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 1
FUR
17%
25%
59%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Beauvais Oise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ASB
1 - 0
AUB
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SPI
3 - 2
ASB
61%
23%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ASB
2 - 2
FEI
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
FCR
2 - 1
ASB
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
ASB
0 - 1
GOB
32%
26%
43%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |