Furia vs Racing San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
10.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Furia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LUA
2 - 1
FUR
48%
21%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FUR
2 - 0
VID
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BRI
1 - 2
FUR
35%
21%
44%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FUR
4 - 0
ROI
69%
16%
15%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
RAR
1 - 3
FUR
37%
22%
41%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Racing San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
RSL
1 - 4
CAL
27%
22%
51%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RSL
2 - 3
LUA
18%
20%
63%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VID
7 - 0
RSL
63%
18%
19%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RSL
0 - 2
BRI
38%
22%
40%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ROI
3 - 0
RSL
45%
22%
34%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |