Academia Rey vs Atlético El Vigía FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
45.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
13º
16º
13º
20
5º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 41 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 37 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
53% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
44.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
56% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
56% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia Rey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
FRO
2 - 1
FLD
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ZAM
1 - 0
FLD
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FLD
1 - 4
URE
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FLD
1 - 2
YAR
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
FLD
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
BAR
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 0
YAR
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
EST
4 - 2
ATL
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 0
ATL
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
HFF
1 - 0
ATL
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |