Academia Rey vs Atlético El Vigía FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
45.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
10º
16º
11º
21
5º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia Rey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
FRO
2 - 1
FLD
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ZAM
1 - 0
FLD
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FLD
1 - 4
URE
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FLD
1 - 2
YAR
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
FLD
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
BAR
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 0
YAR
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
EST
4 - 2
ATL
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 0
ATL
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
HFF
1 - 0
ATL
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |