Academia Rey vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
45.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
13º
16º
13º
33
4º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia Rey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TRU
1 - 0
FLD
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FLD
0 - 4
TRU
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
YAR
1 - 0
FLD
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FLD
3 - 4
FRO
35%
25%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
URE
3 - 0
FLD
72%
18%
11%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
ARA
4 - 2
CFC
19%
28%
53%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
4 - 1
ARA
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 1
APC
24%
28%
48%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
ARA
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
3 - 3
MIN
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |