Fulham vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
FUL
2 - 2
IPS
65%
21%
15%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
FUL
2 - 2
BOU
46%
24%
30%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
CHL
1 - 2
FUL
69%
19%
13%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
FUL
0 - 0
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 2
FUL
81%
14%
6%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
WAT
1 - 2
SHE
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
QPR
3 - 1
WAT
33%
27%
41%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 2
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 1
OPA
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 1
WAT
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |