FA Cup 1/16
Global 2-3
Fulham vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
WAT
1 - 1
FUL
72%
16%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
FUL
1 - 0
MID
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
ROT
0 - 1
FUL
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1983 |
OLD
0 - 2
FUL
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1983 |
FUL
2 - 1
STF
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
WAT
1 - 1
FUL
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
WAT
2 - 0
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
EVE
1 - 0
WAT
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1983 |
WAT
2 - 0
PLY
86%
9%
5%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1983 |
WAT
2 - 0
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |