EFL Cup 1/32
Global 3-3
Fulham vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1994 |
FUL
4 - 3
LUT
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1994 |
LUT
1 - 1
FUL
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1994 |
SWA
2 - 1
FUL
57%
25%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
FUL
1 - 0
ROT
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1994 |
BHA
2 - 0
FUL
65%
20%
14%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
NOT
0 - 2
STO
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1994 |
STO
3 - 2
CHA
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
STO
4 - 1
SOU
47%
26%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1994 |
BOL
4 - 0
STO
59%
22%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1994 |
REA
4 - 0
STO
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |