EFL Cup 1/64
Global 3-2
Fulham vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
FUL
1 - 0
CUM
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
ROC
1 - 2
FUL
50%
25%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
SOU
0 - 2
FUL
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +3 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
BAR
3 - 0
FUL
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
FUL
0 - 0
GIL
53%
26%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 3
SWI
33%
27%
41%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
OPA
1 - 0
SOU
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
OXF
5 - 0
SOU
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
SOU
0 - 2
FUL
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 1
TRA
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |