FA Cup 1/32
Global 2-1
Fulham vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
FUL
1 - 0
MAC
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1999 |
SOU
1 - 1
FUL
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1998 |
NOR
1 - 1
FUL
34%
29%
38%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
FUL
2 - 0
COL
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
PNE
0 - 1
FUL
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
SOU
3 - 1
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1999 |
SOU
1 - 1
FUL
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1998 |
NTT
1 - 1
SOU
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
SOU
0 - 2
CHL
28%
25%
48%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
SOU
3 - 1
WIM
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |