EFL Cup 1/64
Global 5-2
Fulham vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
GRI
1 - 1
FUL
28%
29%
43%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
FUL
0 - 0
MAC
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
NOR
1 - 2
FUL
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
BIR
2 - 2
FUL
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
FUL
3 - 0
PNE
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
CHE
0 - 2
NOR
43%
29%
28%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
NOR
0 - 1
POS
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
NOR
1 - 2
FUL
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
MAC
1 - 0
NOR
48%
28%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
NOR
2 - 2
BUR
45%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |