Fulham vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1959 |
WBA
2 - 4
FUL
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
FUL
3 - 1
NTT
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1959 |
FUL
1 - 3
CHL
56%
20%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1959 |
BOL
3 - 2
FUL
63%
19%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1959 |
WOL
9 - 0
FUL
83%
11%
7%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1959 |
NEW
2 - 1
NTT
59%
21%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
NEW
0 - 0
WHU
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1959 |
LEE
2 - 3
NEW
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1959 |
NEW
1 - 3
BUR
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1959 |
NEW
0 - 0
WBA
48%
22%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |