Fulham vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
TOT
2 - 1
FUL
73%
17%
11%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1951 |
WBA
0 - 0
FUL
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1951 |
FUL
0 - 1
TOT
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1951 |
FUL
2 - 0
MID
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1951 |
HUR
1 - 2
FUL
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
SUN
2 - 1
NEW
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1951 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIV
66%
18%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1951 |
NEW
2 - 2
SUN
63%
18%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1951 |
BPO
2 - 2
NEW
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1951 |
NEW
2 - 1
WOL
58%
20%
22%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |