FA Cup Semi-finals
Global 5-7
Fulham vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
53.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1958 |
MUD
2 - 2
FUL
82%
11%
7%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1958 |
DON
1 - 6
FUL
35%
23%
42%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1958 |
LEY
1 - 3
FUL
48%
22%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1958 |
FUL
3 - 1
CHA
52%
21%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1958 |
FUL
3 - 1
BRO
69%
16%
15%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1958 |
MUD
2 - 2
FUL
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1958 |
BUR
3 - 0
MUD
29%
23%
49%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1958 |
MUD
0 - 4
WBA
73%
16%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1958 |
MUD
1 - 0
WBA
74%
15%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1958 |
WBA
2 - 2
MUD
34%
22%
45%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |