Fulham vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1961 |
BIR
2 - 1
FUL
56%
20%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1961 |
WOL
2 - 4
FUL
83%
11%
7%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1961 |
FUL
1 - 1
BBU
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1961 |
LEI
1 - 2
FUL
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1961 |
FUL
1 - 1
ASV
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1961 |
MAC
3 - 1
LEI
51%
22%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1961 |
BPO
3 - 3
MAC
51%
21%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1961 |
LEI
1 - 2
MAC
63%
18%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1961 |
MAC
4 - 1
ASV
54%
22%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1961 |
MAC
1 - 1
BPO
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |