Fulham vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
26.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1960 |
MAC
3 - 2
FUL
53%
20%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1960 |
CAR
2 - 0
FUL
37%
23%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1960 |
FUL
4 - 4
MUD
43%
21%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1960 |
BBU
5 - 1
FUL
52%
21%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1960 |
FUL
1 - 3
WOL
34%
22%
43%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1960 |
MAC
3 - 2
FUL
53%
20%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1960 |
MAC
1 - 2
NTT
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1960 |
MAC
2 - 4
WOL
31%
22%
47%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1960 |
ASV
5 - 1
MAC
51%
21%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1960 |
CHL
6 - 3
MAC
60%
18%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |