Fulham vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
CHA
2 - 1
FUL
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
FUL
0 - 0
EVE
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
EVE
1 - 1
FUL
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1949 |
FUL
3 - 0
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1949 |
WOL
1 - 1
FUL
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
MAC
1 - 2
MUD
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
MAC
1 - 2
HUR
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
HUR
1 - 0
MAC
46%
25%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1949 |
MAC
2 - 0
CHA
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1949 |
ASV
1 - 0
MAC
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |