Fulham vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FUL
4 - 2
BUR
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
TOT
3 - 1
FUL
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
FUL
0 - 2
CRY
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FUL
2 - 2
CEL
26%
25%
50%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
FUL
0 - 1
SAM
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MKD
1 - 0
EXE
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 2
EXE
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
EXE
1 - 1
NEW
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
EXE
1 - 1
IPS
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 2
EXE
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |