Fulham vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1951 |
ASV
3 - 0
FUL
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1950 |
FUL
1 - 1
SUN
37%
24%
40%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1950 |
BOL
0 - 1
FUL
66%
20%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1950 |
FUL
0 - 1
BOL
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1950 |
WOL
1 - 1
FUL
82%
12%
7%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1951 |
DER
1 - 2
LIV
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1950 |
DER
1 - 1
STO
72%
15%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1950 |
TOT
2 - 1
DER
54%
21%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1950 |
DER
1 - 1
TOT
73%
16%
12%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1950 |
ASV
1 - 1
DER
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |