EFL Cup 1/32
Global 4-1
Fulham vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
FUL
3 - 0
GIL
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2000 |
CHE
1 - 0
FUL
21%
26%
53%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
NTT
0 - 3
FUL
35%
29%
37%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2000 |
FUL
3 - 1
BUR
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
FUL
5 - 1
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
BPO
1 - 3
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2000 |
CHE
1 - 0
FUL
21%
26%
53%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
CHE
4 - 0
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2000 |
CUM
2 - 4
CHE
37%
29%
34%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHE
54%
25%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |