Fulham vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
FUL
0 - 1
ARS
21%
26%
54%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2002 |
DZG
0 - 3
FUL
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
SOU
4 - 2
FUL
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
FUL
0 - 1
WHU
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
FUL
1 - 1
MUD
18%
23%
59%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
LEY
1 - 2
BCF
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
LIN
1 - 1
BCF
44%
27%
28%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
BCF
2 - 1
MAC
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
RUS
0 - 1
BCF
61%
23%
17%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
BCF
2 - 2
DAR
57%
24%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |