Fulham vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1964 |
WBA
2 - 2
FUL
71%
17%
13%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1964 |
BIR
2 - 2
FUL
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1964 |
FUL
1 - 2
WHU
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1964 |
FUL
3 - 3
STO
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1964 |
WOL
4 - 0
FUL
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1964 |
BIR
1 - 2
STO
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1964 |
BIR
2 - 2
FUL
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1964 |
NTT
4 - 3
BIR
58%
21%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1964 |
BIR
3 - 0
SHE
45%
23%
32%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1964 |
BIR
3 - 1
LIV
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |