Fulham vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FUL
0 - 1
ARS
19%
22%
59%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 1
FUL
56%
25%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
WOL
2 - 1
FUL
35%
28%
37%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
CSK
1 - 1
FUL
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FUL
2 - 1
EVE
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 2
BAS
16%
21%
62%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
BAS
4 - 0
STG
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 3
BAS
9%
15%
76%
|
83 | 35 | 48 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 0
ROM
30%
24%
46%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 3
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |