Fulham vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1966 |
WHU
6 - 1
FUL
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1966 |
FUL
1 - 3
CHL
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1966 |
BPO
4 - 2
FUL
55%
21%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1966 |
SHW
1 - 1
FUL
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1966 |
FUL
4 - 2
WHU
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1966 |
ASV
3 - 2
WBA
40%
25%
36%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1966 |
TOT
0 - 1
ASV
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1966 |
ASV
0 - 0
SHE
56%
23%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1966 |
WBA
2 - 1
ASV
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1966 |
ASV
3 - 0
LEE
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |