Fulham vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1965 |
SHE
2 - 0
FUL
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1965 |
LIV
2 - 1
FUL
74%
15%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1965 |
FUL
0 - 0
SHE
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
FUL
0 - 2
TOT
32%
23%
45%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1965 |
BBU
3 - 2
FUL
69%
18%
14%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1965 |
SUN
2 - 0
ASV
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1965 |
ASV
3 - 0
BPO
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1965 |
ASV
3 - 1
SUN
50%
23%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
BBU
0 - 2
ASV
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1965 |
LEE
2 - 0
ASV
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |