Fulham vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1963 |
BBU
0 - 1
FUL
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1963 |
FUL
2 - 0
BPO
52%
22%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1963 |
IPS
0 - 1
FUL
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1963 |
FUL
3 - 1
NTT
46%
23%
31%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1963 |
LEY
1 - 1
FUL
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1963 |
ASV
4 - 0
BIR
65%
19%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1963 |
LEY
0 - 2
ASV
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1963 |
LIV
4 - 0
ASV
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1963 |
ASV
0 - 0
BBU
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1963 |
SUN
1 - 3
ASV
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |