Fulham vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1951 |
DER
5 - 0
FUL
78%
13%
8%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1951 |
FUL
1 - 2
MAC
56%
22%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1951 |
ARS
4 - 3
FUL
79%
13%
8%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1951 |
FUL
1 - 2
BPO
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1951 |
LIV
4 - 0
FUL
65%
21%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1951 |
ASV
0 - 2
CHA
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1951 |
BUR
2 - 1
ASV
37%
26%
38%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1951 |
ASV
3 - 2
PNE
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1951 |
TOT
2 - 0
ASV
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1951 |
ASV
2 - 5
MUD
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |