Fulham vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1949 |
WOL
1 - 1
FUL
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1949 |
FUL
1 - 0
MUD
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1949 |
WBA
4 - 1
FUL
63%
20%
18%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1949 |
FUL
0 - 0
DER
33%
24%
43%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1949 |
BIR
1 - 1
FUL
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1949 |
ASV
1 - 0
MAC
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1949 |
ASV
1 - 1
BIR
75%
16%
10%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1949 |
BOL
1 - 1
ASV
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1949 |
ASV
1 - 1
ARS
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1949 |
LIV
2 - 1
ASV
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |