Fulham vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
54%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
BIR
0 - 2
FUL
38%
28%
34%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2011 |
FUL
2 - 5
LIV
36%
28%
36%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SUN
0 - 3
FUL
41%
28%
32%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
FUL
3 - 0
BOL
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
WOL
1 - 1
FUL
36%
28%
36%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
ARS
1 - 2
ASV
64%
20%
16%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
STO
3 - 1
ARS
17%
21%
63%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ARS
1 - 0
MUD
33%
26%
41%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
BOL
2 - 1
ARS
18%
21%
61%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
TOT
3 - 3
ARS
33%
24%
43%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |