Fulham vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1968 |
MAC
5 - 1
FUL
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1968 |
FUL
0 - 1
SHE
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1968 |
SOU
2 - 1
FUL
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1968 |
FUL
2 - 0
SHW
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1968 |
WBA
2 - 1
FUL
71%
17%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1968 |
ARS
0 - 2
WOL
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1968 |
LEE
1 - 0
ARS
77%
14%
10%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1968 |
ARS
0 - 2
MUD
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1968 |
ARS
0 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1968 |
HUR
1 - 3
ARS
31%
25%
44%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |