Fulham vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
39.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1965 |
LEI
5 - 0
FUL
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1965 |
EVE
2 - 0
FUL
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1965 |
FUL
0 - 5
BUR
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1965 |
STO
3 - 2
FUL
62%
21%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1965 |
FUL
1 - 4
NOR
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1965 |
ARS
5 - 2
SHW
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1965 |
SHW
4 - 0
ARS
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1965 |
LIV
4 - 2
ARS
68%
18%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1965 |
ARS
3 - 3
ASV
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1965 |
ARS
3 - 2
WHU
60%
20%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |