Fulham vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
SHW
2 - 2
FUL
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1951 |
FUL
1 - 1
NEW
37%
25%
39%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
TOT
2 - 1
FUL
73%
17%
11%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1951 |
WBA
0 - 0
FUL
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1951 |
FUL
0 - 1
TOT
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
ARS
1 - 2
LIV
70%
17%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1951 |
SUN
0 - 2
ARS
47%
24%
28%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
OPA
1 - 1
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1951 |
ARS
2 - 1
WOL
59%
20%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1951 |
ARS
0 - 1
OPA
63%
19%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |