Fügen vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
8º
5º
11
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fügen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TEL
1 - 2
FUG
40%
23%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FUG
2 - 0
VOL
67%
19%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
IAC
4 - 0
FUG
24%
23%
53%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -3 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
FUG
1 - 0
WAT
44%
22%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
STJ
4 - 1
FUG
24%
23%
53%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
WOR
1 - 4
KEM
32%
21%
48%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
EBB
0 - 0
WOR
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
WOR
2 - 4
KIT
19%
23%
59%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCV
3 - 1
WOR
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
KUN
1 - 0
WOR
18%
19%
62%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |