Fuerza Amarilla vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
58.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuerza Amarilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
OLM
1 - 0
FAM
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
FAM
1 - 4
EME
18%
25%
57%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
DEL
1 - 0
FAM
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
FAM
1 - 3
SSR
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
FAM
1 - 1
LIG
22%
26%
52%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
IND
1 - 0
UCE
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
UCE
1 - 1
AUC
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
LIG
1 - 5
UCE
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
UCE
6 - 2
TEC
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
UCE
1 - 1
INJ
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |