Fuerza Amarilla vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuerza Amarilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
6 - 0
FAM
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 2
FAM
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
FAM
1 - 2
IVT
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CUE
2 - 1
FAM
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
FAM
2 - 0
UCE
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
6 - 0
FAM
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 2
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
DEL
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
IVT
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
4 - 2
LIG
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |