Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 6-5
Tenerife B vs CD Varea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tenerife B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
CER
0 - 1
CDT
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CDT
3 - 1
CER
52%
25%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
TEL
1 - 1
CDT
22%
23%
55%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CDT
1 - 1
SDT
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
RSI
3 - 2
CDT
12%
19%
70%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
LEI
3 - 0
VAR
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 4
LEI
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
PRA
0 - 3
VAR
7%
14%
79%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 0
ARN
88%
9%
3%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
CIU
0 - 5
VAR
8%
15%
77%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |