Tenerife B vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
9º
5º
27
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 77 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 64 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 64 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 58 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 46 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
62% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 18 |
18º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
81% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 16% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 17.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tenerife B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MEL
3 - 1
CDT
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
CDT
3 - 2
PAS
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MAJ
2 - 0
CDT
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CDT
2 - 2
YAI
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
COL
0 - 4
CDT
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
UBC
2 - 3
MAJ
28%
28%
44%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
UBC
4 - 1
YAI
45%
27%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
RMA
0 - 1
UBC
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
UBC
1 - 1
ADA
35%
28%
37%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
UBC
0 - 1
RSO
8%
22%
70%
|
46 | 93 | 47 | 0 |