CD Fuerte San Francisco vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
66.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
12º
4º
37
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fuerte San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
MUN
0 - 3
FUE
84%
12%
4%
|
6 | 53 | 47 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
FUE
1 - 3
FAS
12%
21%
67%
|
6 | 64 | 58 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ONC
1 - 0
FUE
80%
14%
5%
|
6 | 60 | 54 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FUE
0 - 1
ALI
11%
18%
71%
|
7 | 67 | 60 | -1 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 1
FIR
48%
27%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 1
FIR
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
JOC
2 - 4
FIR
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FIR
1 - 0
MET
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
CDD
2 - 1
FIR
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |