CD Fuerte San Francisco vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
54.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
8º
10º
11º
10
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 40 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 38 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 36 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 32 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 29 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 28 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 24 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 22 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 18 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 18 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
8 | 17 |
11º
|
31% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
23% | 89% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fuerte San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 0
FUE
71%
19%
10%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 3
MET
21%
27%
53%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FUE
2 - 0
ONC
17%
25%
59%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FUE
1 - 2
MUN
17%
25%
58%
|
33 | 67 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 1
FUE
74%
18%
9%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
FAS
2 - 0
CDD
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ONC
2 - 2
FAS
36%
29%
35%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 1
FAS
25%
24%
51%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
CHI
4 - 0
FAS
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 1
FAS
50%
24%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |