CD Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
53.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
8º
10º
11º
14
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 39 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 38 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 36 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 33 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 29 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 27 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 24 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 24 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 19 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 18 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
8 | 17 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
17.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fuerte San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDD
1 - 1
FUE
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FUE
1 - 0
ONC
20%
26%
54%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FIR
3 - 2
FUE
68%
21%
11%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 0
FUE
14%
18%
68%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 1
MUN
21%
26%
53%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 0
FAS
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 0
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 2
MET
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 0
CDD
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ONC
1 - 1
ALI
36%
29%
36%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |