Fuentes vs Mallén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ALB
1 - 4
FUE
12%
18%
71%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
FUE
5 - 1
ALC
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
FUE
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
FUE
4 - 1
ACF
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
QUI
0 - 3
FUE
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mallén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
MAL
2 - 2
ALF
29%
24%
47%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
UDM
1 - 4
MAL
57%
21%
22%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
DEL
1 - 2
MAL
70%
17%
13%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MAL
1 - 3
UDS
13%
20%
67%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ZUE
2 - 1
MAL
74%
16%
11%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |