Fuentes vs Caspe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
57.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CEL
0 - 4
FUE
50%
23%
27%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
UDM
3 - 1
FUE
49%
23%
28%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
FUE
1 - 2
CAS
22%
23%
55%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CDC
4 - 1
FUE
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FUE
0 - 2
MOR
70%
19%
12%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Caspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 0
CDM
61%
23%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
CAS
5 - 1
VAL
83%
13%
4%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
FUE
1 - 2
CAS
22%
23%
55%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 0
CDM
53%
23%
24%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
UDM
1 - 0
CAS
31%
24%
46%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |