Fuentes vs CD Belchite 97 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
3º
17º
16º
0
15º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
4 | 65 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 61 |
2º
|
13% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 59 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 58 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 55 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 54 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 50 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 49 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 45 |
9º
|
5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 44 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 39 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 38 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 38 |
15º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 38 |
16º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 37 |
17º
|
9% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 28 |
18º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 35% |
|
Relegation
|
30% | 63.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 2
CUA
22%
24%
54%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BIN
1 - 0
FUE
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FUE
2 - 0
SDB
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 0
FUE
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 1
EPI
29%
25%
47%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
CD Belchite 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
HUE
2 - 2
BEL
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 0
FRA
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CDE
0 - 0
BEL
72%
18%
10%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 1
TAM
22%
22%
55%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CFA
1 - 0
BEL
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |