Fuentes vs Alcorisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
CDA
0 - 3
FUE
13%
16%
71%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SAG
0 - 2
FUE
19%
20%
62%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FUE
1 - 0
QUI
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GIN
0 - 1
FUE
14%
18%
67%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FUE
0 - 0
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ALC
3 - 1
CEL
45%
24%
32%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DEL
0 - 3
ALC
42%
22%
35%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ALC
3 - 1
HER
42%
23%
34%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 2
ATL
51%
24%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
MAE
1 - 3
ALC
18%
20%
63%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |