Fuensalida vs AD Hogar Alcarreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuensalida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
FUE
52%
22%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
FUE
0 - 4
CAB
52%
23%
26%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AAL
1 - 0
FUE
55%
23%
22%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FUE
0 - 0
MAD
34%
25%
41%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 0
FUE
27%
24%
50%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 1
CDP
30%
25%
46%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NOB
3 - 1
HAL
77%
15%
9%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 0
SCU
33%
23%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
T66
1 - 1
HAL
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HAL
4 - 0
ADS
11%
17%
72%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | +2 |