Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Fuenlabrada vs Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
CDV
0 - 0
FUE
14%
22%
64%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FUE
1 - 1
PNT
61%
22%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 4
FUE
31%
26%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MEX
3 - 0
FUE
35%
26%
40%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FUE
4 - 1
VLO
65%
22%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
CDT
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SDT
0 - 0
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
5 - 1
VIC
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 2
MAR
26%
26%
48%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
CDP
78%
14%
7%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |