Fuego FC vs Spokane Velocity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
15.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+1969%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
12º
12º
26
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 45 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 38 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 37 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 35 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
7º
|
71.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 24 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 23 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
11º
|
46% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 17 |
12º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 99% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuego FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GTR
2 - 2
CVF
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
LSC
7 - 1
CVF
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SPV
3 - 2
CVF
20%
19%
61%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
4 - 0
CVF
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CVF
1 - 3
LSC
58%
21%
21%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Spokane Velocity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FMA
2 - 0
SPV
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SPV
0 - 0
TOR
17%
20%
63%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SPV
3 - 2
CVF
20%
19%
61%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +4 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SPV
2 - 1
OMA
18%
22%
61%
|
24 | 67 | 43 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OKS
1 - 1
SPV
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 54 | 30 | 0 |